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#format wiki #language en '''NB:''' Below, an * indicates that the option already exists and is referenced in MarkovSwitchingOptions. == ms_sbvar new/renamed options == || '''Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Comments''' |||| '''Default''' |||| '''Variable Name''' |||| '''Previous Name''' || || {{{mode_compute}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- '''1.''' Use csminwel to estimate the mode '''0.''' Will not try to estimate the model -~|||| 1 |||| |||| estimate_msmodel || || {{{mode_file}}} |||| <<string>> ||||~- Mode file to load instead of re-estimating the model -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{compute_mdd}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~- '''1.''' Compute marginal data densities '''0.''' Otherwise -~|||| 1 |||| |||| compute_mdd || || {{{compute_probabilities}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~- '''1.''' Compute probabilites '''0.''' Otherwise -~|||| 1 |||| |||| compute_probabilities || || {{{irf}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Produce Impulse Response Graphs with horizon=integer -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{bayesian_irf}}} |||| -- ||||~- Produce Bayesian Impulse Response Graphs with horizon=irf -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{forecast}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Produce Forecast with horizon=integer -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{coefficients_prior_hyperparameters}}} |||| <<vec_double>> ||||~- Sets the hyper parameters for the sbvar (mu in sz_prd.m), this should be a vector of doubles of length 6 -~|||| [1.0 1.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 1.0] |||| |||| || || {{{mh_replic}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- The number of draws to save from the simulation -~|||| 1000|||| n_draws |||| n_draws || || {{{drop}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- The number of samples to drop at the beginning of the sampling period -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{thinning_factor}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- total draws = ( thinning_factor x mh_replic ) + drop -~|||| 1 |||| |||| thinning_factor || || {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Number of draws for the Adaptive MH step -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{load_mh_file}}} |||| <<string>> ||||~- Filename of previously computed simulation run, load this instead of simulating the model again. -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{freq}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- quarters or months -~|||| 4 |||| q_m |||| freq || || {{{initial_year}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- beginning of the year -~|||| |||| yrBin |||| initial_year || || {{{initial_subperiod}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-beginning of the quarter or month-~ |||| 1 |||| qmBin |||| initial_subperiod || || {{{final_year}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-final year-~ |||| |||| yrFin |||| final_year || || {{{final_subperiod}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- final month or quarter-~ |||| |||| qmFin |||| final_subperiod || || {{{datafile}}}* |||| <<string>> ||||~- Load data-~ |||| |||| |||| data_file || || {{{varlist}}}* |||| <<vec_value>> ||||~- Names of variables -~|||| |||| varlist |||| varlist || || {{{restriction_fname}}}* |||| <<string>> |||| ~-file for restriction on time variations-~ |||| |||| idfile_const |||| restriction_fname || || {{{nlags}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Number of lags -~|||| 4 |||| lags |||| nlags || || {{{cross_restrictions}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~- '''1''': cross-A0-and-A+ restrictions <<BR>> '''0''': idfile_const is all we have-~ |||| 0 |||| indxc0Pres |||| cross_restrictions || || {{{contemp_reduced_form}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-'''1''': contemporaneous recursive reduced form <<BR>> '''0''': restricted (non-recursive) form -~|||| 0 |||| Rform |||| comtemp_reduced_form || || {{{bayesian_prior}}}* |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-'''1''': Bayesian prior <<BR>> '''0''': no prior-~ |||| 1 |||| indxPrior |||| bayesian_prior || || {{{alpha}}}* |||| <<double>> ||||~-Alpha value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| galp |||| alpha || || {{{beta}}}* |||| <<double>> ||||~-Beta value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| gbeta |||| beta || || {{{gsig2_lmd}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~-Case 4 (no state change across variables (i) and across lags (l); only one scale factor for all lagged variables change from state to state). Normal prior variance for structural shock lambda, one scale factor for all lagged D+ in a given equation.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmd |||| gsig2_lmd || || {{{gsig2_lmdm}}}* |||| <<integer>> ||||~-Case 3 (no state change across lags (l) but allows all variables for a given lag to switch states). Normal prior variance for different variables in lagged D+.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmdm |||| gsig2_lmdm || == Create Init File Mex Function == '''Create Init File Syntax''' (from {{{switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/create_init_file.c}}}):<<BR>><<BR>> {{{create_init_file <matlab filename> <markov filename> <file tag>}}} || '''Standalone Argument''' |||| '''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{<matlab filename>}}} |||| None. Set automatically in {{{sz_prd.m}}} |||| matlab file name || || {{{<markov filename>}}} |||| {{{markov_file}}}* |||| Markov file name || || {{{<file tag>}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}}* |||| The output file tag || == Estimation, Simulation, Probabilities, Marginal Data Densitiy Mex Function == |
|
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|| {{{estimate}}} |||| |||| |||| {{{estimate_msmodel}}} |||| produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood || || {{{simulate}}} |||| |||| |||| {{{print_draws}}} |||| produces simulation run || || {{{probabilities}}} |||| |||| |||| {{{compute_probabilities}}} |||| produces smoothed or filtered probabilities || || {{{mdd}}} |||| |||| |||| {{{compute_mdd}}} |||| produces marginal data density from posterior draws || || {{{forecast}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| produces forecast || || {{{ir}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| produces impulse responses || || {{{historical}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| produces historical decomposition || || {{{smoothedshocks}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed shocks || || {{{smoothedstates}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed states || || {{{seed}}} |||| {{{0}}} (i.e. random) |||| |||| |||| seed value for random number generation || |
|| {{{estimate}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{estimate_msmodel}}}* |||| produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood || || {{{simulate}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{print_draws}}}* |||| produces simulation run || || {{{probabilities}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{compute_probabilities}}}* |||| produces smoothed or filtered probabilities || || {{{mdd}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{compute_mdd}}}* |||| produces marginal data density from posterior draws || || {{{forecast}}} |||| -horizon <<integer>> -error_bands |||| |||| {{{forecast}}} |||| produces forecast || || {{{ir}}} |||| -horizon <<integer>> |||| |||| {{{irf}}} |||| produces impulse responses || || {{{ir}}} |||| -horizon <<integer>> -parameter_uncertainty -error_bands |||| |||| {{{bayesian_irf}}} |||| produces impulse responses || || {{{historical}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| produces historical decomposition || || {{{smoothedshocks}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed shocks || || {{{smoothedstates}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed states || || {{{seed}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0}}} (i.e. random) |||| set by {{{set_dynare_seed()}}} in .mod file |||| seed value for random number generation || |
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|| {{{di}}} |||| <<directory>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| input files are in specified directory || || {{{do}}} |||| <<directory>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| output files are in specified directory || || {{{fs}}} |||| <<filename>> |||| |||| |||| specification file name || || {{{fp}}} |||| <<filename>> |||| |||| |||| parameter file name || || {{{ph}}} |||| <<header>> |||| |||| |||| header for the parameters || || {{{pho}}} |||| <<header>> |||| |||| |||| parameter header used for output || || {{{MLE}}} |||| <<header>> |||| |||| |||| Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If {{{ph}}} or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". || || {{{fo}}} |||| <<filename>> |||| |||| |||| output file name || || {{{ft}}} |||| <<tag>> |||| |||| |||| The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the {{{fs}}} or {{{fp}}} options are not present. || || {{{fto}}} |||| <<tag>> |||| associated with {{{ft}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}} |||| The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. || |
|| {{{di}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| input files are in specified directory || || {{{do}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| output files are in specified directory || || {{{fs}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| specification file name || || {{{fp}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| parameter file name || || {{{ph}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| header for the parameters || || {{{pho}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| parameter header used for output || || {{{MLE}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If {{{ph}}} or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". || || {{{fo}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| output file name || || {{{ft}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the {{{fs}}} or {{{fp}}} options are not present. || || {{{fto}}} |||| <<string>> |||| associated with {{{ft}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}}* |||| The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. || |
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|| {{{ndraws}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1000}}} |||| {{{n_draws}}} |||| Number of draws to save || || {{{burnin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0.1*ndraws}}} |||| {{{draws_nbr_burn_in}}} |||| Number of burn-in draws || || {{{thin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}} |||| Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is {{{thin*ndraws+burnin}}} || || {{{mh}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{30000}}} |||| |||| Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws || |
|| {{{ndraws}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1000}}} |||| {{{mh_replic}}}* |||| Number of draws to save || || {{{burnin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0.1*ndraws}}} |||| {{{drop}}} <<BR>> two similar options existed, but were appended with {{{_1}}} and {{{_2}}} |||| Number of burn-in draws || || {{{thin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}}* |||| Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is {{{thin*ndraws+burnin}}} || || {{{mh}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{30000}}} |||| {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws || |
NB: Below, an * indicates that the option already exists and is referenced in MarkovSwitchingOptions.
ms_sbvar new/renamed options
Flag |
Argument |
Comments |
Default |
Variable Name |
Previous Name |
|||||
mode_compute* |
<<integer>> |
1. Use csminwel to estimate the mode 0. Will not try to estimate the model |
1 |
|
estimate_msmodel |
|||||
mode_file |
<<string>> |
Mode file to load instead of re-estimating the model |
|
|
|
|||||
compute_mdd* |
<<integer>> |
1. Compute marginal data densities 0. Otherwise |
1 |
|
compute_mdd |
|||||
compute_probabilities* |
<<integer>> |
1. Compute probabilites 0. Otherwise |
1 |
|
compute_probabilities |
|||||
irf |
<<integer>> |
Produce Impulse Response Graphs with horizon=integer |
|
|
|
|||||
bayesian_irf |
-- |
Produce Bayesian Impulse Response Graphs with horizon=irf |
|
|
|
|||||
forecast |
<<integer>> |
Produce Forecast with horizon=integer |
|
|
|
|||||
coefficients_prior_hyperparameters |
<<vec_double>> |
Sets the hyper parameters for the sbvar (mu in sz_prd.m), this should be a vector of doubles of length 6 |
[1.0 1.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 1.0] |
|
|
|||||
mh_replic* |
<<integer>> |
The number of draws to save from the simulation |
1000 |
n_draws |
n_draws |
|||||
drop |
<<integer>> |
The number of samples to drop at the beginning of the sampling period |
|
|
|
|||||
thinning_factor* |
<<integer>> |
total draws = ( thinning_factor x mh_replic ) + drop |
1 |
|
thinning_factor |
|||||
adaptive_mh_draws |
<<integer>> |
Number of draws for the Adaptive MH step |
|
|
|
|||||
load_mh_file |
<<string>> |
Filename of previously computed simulation run, load this instead of simulating the model again. |
|
|
|
|||||
freq* |
<<integer>> |
quarters or months |
4 |
q_m |
freq |
|||||
initial_year* |
<<integer>> |
beginning of the year |
|
yrBin |
initial_year |
|||||
initial_subperiod* |
<<integer>> |
beginning of the quarter or month |
1 |
qmBin |
initial_subperiod |
|||||
final_year* |
<<integer>> |
final year |
|
yrFin |
final_year |
|||||
final_subperiod* |
<<integer>> |
final month or quarter |
|
qmFin |
final_subperiod |
|||||
datafile* |
<<string>> |
Load data |
|
|
data_file |
|||||
varlist* |
<<vec_value>> |
Names of variables |
|
varlist |
varlist |
|||||
restriction_fname* |
<<string>> |
file for restriction on time variations |
|
idfile_const |
restriction_fname |
|||||
nlags* |
<<integer>> |
Number of lags |
4 |
lags |
nlags |
|||||
cross_restrictions* |
<<integer>> |
1: cross-A0-and-A+ restrictions |
0 |
indxc0Pres |
cross_restrictions |
|||||
contemp_reduced_form* |
<<integer>> |
1: contemporaneous recursive reduced form |
0 |
Rform |
comtemp_reduced_form |
|||||
bayesian_prior* |
<<integer>> |
1: Bayesian prior |
1 |
indxPrior |
bayesian_prior |
|||||
alpha* |
<<double>> |
Alpha value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda. |
1.0 |
galp |
alpha |
|||||
beta* |
<<double>> |
Beta value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda. |
1.0 |
gbeta |
beta |
|||||
gsig2_lmd* |
<<integer>> |
Case 4 (no state change across variables (i) and across lags (l); only one scale factor for all lagged variables change from state to state). Normal prior variance for structural shock lambda, one scale factor for all lagged D+ in a given equation. |
502 |
gsig2_lmd |
gsig2_lmd |
|||||
gsig2_lmdm* |
<<integer>> |
Case 3 (no state change across lags (l) but allows all variables for a given lag to switch states). Normal prior variance for different variables in lagged D+. |
502 |
gsig2_lmdm |
gsig2_lmdm |
Create Init File Mex Function
Create Init File Syntax (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/create_init_file.c):
create_init_file <matlab filename> <markov filename> <file tag>
Standalone Argument |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||
<matlab filename> |
None. Set automatically in sz_prd.m |
matlab file name |
||
<markov filename> |
markov_file* |
Markov file name |
||
<file tag> |
output_file_tag* |
The output file tag |
Estimation, Simulation, Probabilities, Marginal Data Densitiy Mex Function
Top Level Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/dw_sbvar_command_line.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
estimate |
-- |
|
estimate_msmodel* |
produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood |
||||
simulate |
-- |
|
print_draws* |
produces simulation run |
||||
probabilities |
-- |
|
compute_probabilities* |
produces smoothed or filtered probabilities |
||||
mdd |
-- |
|
compute_mdd* |
produces marginal data density from posterior draws |
||||
forecast |
-horizon <<integer>> -error_bands |
|
forecast |
produces forecast |
||||
ir |
-horizon <<integer>> |
|
irf |
produces impulse responses |
||||
ir |
-horizon <<integer>> -parameter_uncertainty -error_bands |
|
bayesian_irf |
produces impulse responses |
||||
historical |
-- |
|
|
produces historical decomposition |
||||
smoothedshocks |
-- |
|
|
produces smoothed shocks |
||||
smoothedstates |
-- |
|
|
produces smoothed states |
||||
seed |
<<integer>> |
0 (i.e. random) |
set by set_dynare_seed() in .mod file |
seed value for random number generation |
General Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/dw_sbvar_command_line.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
di |
<<string>> |
./ |
not supported |
input files are in specified directory |
||||
do |
<<string>> |
./ |
not supported |
output files are in specified directory |
||||
fs |
<<string>> |
|
|
specification file name |
||||
fp |
<<string>> |
|
|
parameter file name |
||||
ph |
<<string>> |
|
|
header for the parameters |
||||
pho |
<<string>> |
|
|
parameter header used for output |
||||
MLE |
<<string>> |
|
|
Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If ph or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". |
||||
fo |
<<string>> |
|
|
output file name |
||||
ft |
<<string>> |
|
|
The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the fs or fp options are not present. |
||||
fto |
<<string>> |
associated with ft |
output_file_tag* |
The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. |
Estimation Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_estimate.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
cb |
<<double>> |
1.0e-03 |
|
convergence criterion starting value |
||||
ce |
<<double>> |
1.0e-06 |
|
convergence criterion ending value |
||||
ci |
<<double>> |
0.1 |
|
convergence criterion increment value |
||||
ib |
<<integer>> |
50 |
|
maximum interations starting value |
||||
ii |
<<double>> |
2.0 |
|
maximum interations increment value |
||||
mb |
<<integer>> |
100 |
|
maximum block iterations |
Simulation Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_simulate.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
ndraws |
<<integer>> |
1000 |
mh_replic* |
Number of draws to save |
||||
burnin |
<<integer>> |
0.1*ndraws |
drop |
Number of burn-in draws |
||||
thin |
<<integer>> |
1 |
thinning_factor* |
Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is thin*ndraws+burnin |
||||
mh |
<<integer>> |
30000 |
adaptive_mh_draws |
Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws |
||||
flat |
-- |
off |
|
Produce flat output file and header |
||||
nofree |
-- |
off |
|
Do not produce free parameters file |
||||
nd1 |
-- |
off |
|
Normalize diagonal of A0 to one (flat output only) |
Probabilities Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_probabilities.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
filtered |
-- |
off |
|
Compute filtered probabilities |
||||
smoothed |
-- |
on if neither filtered nor real_time_smoothed is passed |
|
Compute smoothed probabilities |
||||
real_time_smoothed |
-- |
off |
|
Compute smoothed probabilities based on time t information for 0 <= t <= nobs |
Marginal Data Density Options (from switch_dw/switching/dw_mdd_switch.c):
Standalone Flag |
Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
||||
t |
<<string>> |
|
|
filemname tag |
||||
ft |
<<string>> |
|
|
filemname tag -- supersedes t |
||||
outtag |
<<string>> |
|
|
filemname tag -- supersedes t and ft |
||||
pf |
<<string>> |
simulation_<tag>.out |
|
posterior draws fileanme |
||||
pt |
<<integer>> |
2 |
|
proposal type (1=gaussian, 2=power, 3=truncated power, 4=step, 5=truncated gaussian) |
||||
d |
<<integer>> |
100,000 |
|
number proposal draws |
||||
use_mode |
-- |
on |
|
use posterior mode as center |
||||
use_mean |
-- |
off |
|
use posterior mean as center |
||||
of |
<<string>> |
mdd_<tag>.out |
|
output filename |
||||
l |
<<double>> |
0.1 |
|
Lower cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. |
||||
h |
<<double>> |
0.9 |
|
Upper cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by power, truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. |
||||
graph |
-- |
off |
|
Produce output suitable for graphing the marginal cummulative densities of the radius of the posterior and elliptical distributions. The marginal data density is not computed. |
||||
-- |
off |
|
Prints the matrices posterior and proposal |