|
Size: 14299
Comment:
|
Size: 15990
Comment:
|
| Deletions are marked like this. | Additions are marked like this. |
| Line 8: | Line 8: |
| || {{{create_initialization_file}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| ~- '''1.''' to create init_<output_file_tag>.dat '''0.''' Otherwise -~|||| 1 |||| || create_initialization_file || || {{{mode_compute}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- '''1.''' Use csminwel to estimate the mode '''0.''' Will not try to estimate the model -~|||| 1 |||| |||| estimate_msmodel || || {{{mode_file}}} |||| <<string>> ||||~- Mode file to load instead of re-estimating the model -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{coefficients_prior_hyperparameters}}} |||| <<vec_value>> ||||~- Sets the hyper parameters for the sbvar (mu in sz_prd.m), this should be a vector of doubles of length 6 -~|||| [1.0 1.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 1.0] |||| |||| || || {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Number of draws for the Adaptive MH step -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{load_mh_file}}} |||| <<string>> ||||~- Filename of previously computed simulation run, load this instead of simulating the model again. -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{freq}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- quarters or months -~|||| 4 |||| q_m |||| freq || || {{{initial_year}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- beginning of the year -~|||| |||| yrBin |||| initial_year || || {{{initial_subperiod}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-beginning of the quarter or month-~ |||| 1 |||| qmBin |||| initial_subperiod || || {{{final_year}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-final year-~ |||| |||| yrFin |||| final_year || || {{{final_subperiod}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- final month or quarter-~ |||| |||| qmFin |||| final_subperiod || || {{{datafile}}} |||| <<string>> ||||~- Load data-~ |||| |||| |||| data_file || || {{{varlist}}} |||| <<vec_value>> ||||~- Names of variables -~|||| |||| varlist |||| varlist || || {{{restriction_fname}}} |||| <<string>> |||| ~-file for restriction on time variations-~ |||| |||| idfile_const |||| restriction_fname || || {{{nlags}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- Number of lags -~|||| 4 |||| lags |||| nlags || || {{{cross_restrictions}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~- '''1''': cross-A0-and-A+ restrictions <<BR>> '''0''': idfile_const is all we have-~ |||| 0 |||| indxc0Pres |||| cross_restrictions || || {{{contemp_reduced_form}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-'''1''': contemporaneous recursive reduced form <<BR>> '''0''': restricted (non-recursive) form -~|||| 0 |||| Rform |||| comtemp_reduced_form || || {{{bayesian_prior}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| ~-'''1''': Bayesian prior <<BR>> '''0''': no prior-~ |||| 1 |||| indxPrior |||| bayesian_prior || || {{{alpha}}} |||| <<double>> ||||~-Alpha value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| galp |||| alpha || || {{{beta}}} |||| <<double>> ||||~-Beta value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| gbeta |||| beta || || {{{gsig2_lmd}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~-Case 4 (no state change across variables (i) and across lags (l); only one scale factor for all lagged variables change from state to state). Normal prior variance for structural shock lambda, one scale factor for all lagged D+ in a given equation.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmd |||| gsig2_lmd || || {{{gsig2_lmdm}}} |||| <<integer>> ||||~-Case 3 (no state change across lags (l) but allows all variables for a given lag to switch states). Normal prior variance for different variables in lagged D+.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmdm |||| gsig2_lmdm || |
|| {{{create_initialization_file}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| ~- '''1.''' to create init_<output_file_tag>.dat '''0.''' Otherwise -~|||| 1 |||| || create_initialization_file || || {{{mode_compute}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- '''1.''' Use csminwel to estimate the mode '''0.''' Will not try to estimate the model -~|||| 1 |||| |||| estimate_msmodel || || {{{mode_file}}} |||| {{{<<string>>}}} ||||~- Mode file to load instead of re-estimating the model -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{coefficients_prior_hyperparameters}}} |||| {{{<<vec_value>>}}} ||||~- Sets the hyper parameters for the sbvar (mu in sz_prd.m), this should be a vector of doubles of length 6 -~|||| [1.0 1.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 1.0] |||| |||| || || {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- Number of draws for the Adaptive MH step -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{load_mh_file}}} |||| {{{<<string>>}}} ||||~- Filename of previously computed simulation run, load this instead of simulating the model again. -~|||| |||| |||| || || {{{freq}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- quarters or months -~|||| 4 |||| q_m |||| freq || || {{{initial_year}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- beginning of the year -~|||| |||| yrBin |||| initial_year || || {{{initial_subperiod}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| ~-beginning of the quarter or month-~ |||| 1 |||| qmBin |||| initial_subperiod || || {{{final_year}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| ~-final year-~ |||| |||| yrFin |||| final_year || || {{{final_subperiod}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- final month or quarter-~ |||| |||| qmFin |||| final_subperiod || || {{{datafile}}} |||| {{{<<string>>}}} ||||~- Load data-~ |||| |||| |||| data_file || || {{{varlist}}} |||| {{{<<vec_value>>}}} ||||~- Names of variables -~|||| |||| varlist |||| varlist || || {{{restriction_fname}}} |||| {{{<<string>>}}} |||| ~-file for restriction on time variations-~ |||| |||| idfile_const |||| restriction_fname || || {{{nlags}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- Number of lags -~|||| 4 |||| lags |||| nlags || || {{{cross_restrictions}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~- '''1''': cross-A0-and-A+ restrictions {{{<<BR>>}}} '''0''': idfile_const is all we have-~ |||| 0 |||| indxc0Pres |||| cross_restrictions || || {{{contemp_reduced_form}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| ~-'''1''': contemporaneous recursive reduced form {{{<<BR>>}}} '''0''': restricted (non-recursive) form -~|||| 0 |||| Rform |||| comtemp_reduced_form || || {{{bayesian_prior}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| ~-'''1''': Bayesian prior {{{<<BR>>}}} '''0''': no prior-~ |||| 1 |||| indxPrior |||| bayesian_prior || || {{{alpha}}} |||| {{{<<double>>}}} ||||~-Alpha value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| galp |||| alpha || || {{{beta}}} |||| {{{<<double>>}}} ||||~-Beta value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda.-~ |||| 1.0 |||| gbeta |||| beta || || {{{gsig2_lmd}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~-Case 4 (no state change across variables (i) and across lags (l); only one scale factor for all lagged variables change from state to state). Normal prior variance for structural shock lambda, one scale factor for all lagged D+ in a given equation.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmd |||| gsig2_lmd || || {{{gsig2_lmdm}}} |||| {{{<<integer>>}}} ||||~-Case 3 (no state change across lags (l) but allows all variables for a given lag to switch states). Normal prior variance for different variables in lagged D+.-~ ||||50^2^ |||| gsig2_lmdm |||| gsig2_lmdm || |
| Line 36: | Line 36: |
| '''Create Init File Syntax''' (from {{{switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/create_init_file.c}}}):<<BR>><<BR>> | '''Create Init File Syntax''' (from {{{switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/create_init_file.c}}}):{{{<<BR>>}}}{{{<<BR>>}}} |
| Line 46: | Line 46: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{estimate}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{estimate_msmodel}}} |||| {{{estimate_msmodel}}} |||| produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood || || {{{simulate}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{print_draws}}} |||| {{{print_draws}}}|||| produces simulation run || || {{{probabilities}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{compute_probabilities}}} |||| {{{compute_probabilities}}} |||| produces smoothed or filtered probabilities || || {{{mdd}}} |||| -- |||| |||| {{{compute_mdd}}} |||| {{{compute_mdd}}} |||| produces marginal data density from posterior draws || || {{{forecast}}} |||| <<integer>>|||| |||| {{{forecast}}} |||| |||| produces mean forecast || || {{{ir}}} |||| {{{-horizon}}} <<integer>> |||| |||| {{{irf}}} |||| |||| produces impulse responses for a given set of parameters || || {{{ir}}} |||| {{{-horizon}}} <<integer>> {{{-parameter_uncertainty}}} {{{-error_bands}}} |||| |||| {{{bayesian_irf}}} |||| |||| produces banded impulse responses || || {{{historical}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| |||| produces historical decomposition || || {{{smoothedshocks}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed shocks || || {{{smoothedstates}}} |||| -- |||| |||| |||| |||| produces smoothed states || || {{{seed}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0}}} (i.e. random) |||| set by {{{set_dynare_seed()}}} in .mod file |||| |||| seed value for random number generation || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option and Argument''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{estimate}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{estimate_msmodel}}} || |||| {{{estimate_msmodel}}} |||| produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood || || {{{simulate}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{print_draws}}} || |||| {{{print_draws}}}|||| produces simulation run || || {{{probabilities}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{compute_probabilities}}} || |||| {{{compute_probabilities}}} |||| produces smoothed or filtered probabilities || || {{{mdd}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{compute_mdd}}} || |||| {{{compute_mdd}}} |||| produces marginal data density from posterior draws || || {{{forecast}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{forecast}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| |||| produces mean forecast || || {{{ir}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{irf}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| |||| produces impulse responses for a given set of parameters || || {{{ir}}} || -- |||| -- || {{{bayesian_irf}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| |||| produces banded impulse responses || || {{{historical}}} || -- |||| -- || || |||| |||| produces historical decomposition || || {{{smoothedshocks}}} || -- |||| -- || || |||| |||| produces smoothed shocks || || {{{smoothedstates}}} || -- |||| -- || || |||| |||| produces smoothed states || || {{{seed}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{0}}} (i.e. random) || set by {{{set_dynare_seed()}}} in .mod file || |||| |||| seed value for random number generation || |
| Line 61: | Line 61: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{di}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| |||| input files are in specified directory || || {{{do}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| |||| output files are in specified directory || || {{{fs}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| specification file name || || {{{fp}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| parameter file name || || {{{ph}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| header for the parameters || || {{{pho}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| parameter header used for output || || {{{MLE}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If {{{ph}}} or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". || || {{{fo}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| output file name || || {{{ft}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the {{{fs}}} or {{{fp}}} options are not present. || || {{{fto}}} |||| <<string>> |||| associated with {{{ft}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}} |||| The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{di}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| |||| input files are in specified directory || || {{{do}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| {{{./}}} |||| not supported |||| |||| output files are in specified directory || || {{{fs}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| specification file name || || {{{fp}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| parameter file name || || {{{ph}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| header for the parameters || || {{{pho}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| parameter header used for output || || {{{MLE}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If {{{ph}}} or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". || || {{{fo}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| output file name || || {{{ft}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the {{{fs}}} or {{{fp}}} options are not present. || || {{{fto}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| associated with {{{ft}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}} |||| {{{output_file_tag}}} |||| The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. || |
| Line 75: | Line 75: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{cb}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{1.0e-03}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion starting value || || {{{ce}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{1.0e-06}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion ending value || || {{{ci}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{0.1}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion increment value || || {{{ib}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{50}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum interations starting value || || {{{ii}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{2.0}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum interations increment value || || {{{mb}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{100}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum block iterations || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{cb}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{1.0e-03}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion starting value || || {{{ce}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{1.0e-06}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion ending value || || {{{ci}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{0.1}}} |||| |||| |||| convergence criterion increment value || || {{{ib}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{50}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum interations starting value || || {{{ii}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{2.0}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum interations increment value || || {{{mb}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{100}}} |||| |||| |||| maximum block iterations || |
| Line 85: | Line 85: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{ndraws}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1000}}} |||| {{{mh_replic}}} |||| {{{mh_replic}}} |||| Number of draws to save || || {{{burnin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0.1*ndraws}}} |||| {{{drop}}} |||| {{{draws_nbr_burn_in_1}}} {{{draws_nbr_burn_in_2}}} |||| The number of samples to drop at the beginning of the sampling period || || {{{thin}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{1}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}} |||| Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is {{{thin*ndraws+burnin}}} || || {{{mh}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{30000}}} |||| {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| |||| Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws || || {{{flat}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Produce flat output file and header || || {{{nofree}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Do not produce free parameters file || || {{{nd1}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Normalize diagonal of A0 to one (flat output only) || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{ndraws}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{1000}}} |||| {{{mh_replic}}} |||| {{{mh_replic}}} |||| Number of draws to save || || {{{burnin}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{0.1*ndraws}}} |||| {{{drop}}} |||| {{{draws_nbr_burn_in_1}}} {{{draws_nbr_burn_in_2}}} |||| The number of samples to drop at the beginning of the sampling period || || {{{thin}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{1}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}} |||| {{{thinning_factor}}} |||| Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is {{{thin*ndraws+burnin}}} || || {{{mh}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{30000}}} |||| {{{adaptive_mh_draws}}} |||| |||| Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws || || {{{flat}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Produce flat output file and header || || {{{nofree}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Do not produce free parameters file || || {{{nd1}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Normalize diagonal of A0 to one (flat output only) || |
| Line 96: | Line 96: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{filtered}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Compute filtered probabilities || || {{{smoothed}}} |||| -- |||| {{{on}}} if neither {{{filtered}}} nor {{{real_time_smoothed}}} is passed |||| |||| |||| Compute smoothed probabilities || || {{{real_time_smoothed}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Compute smoothed probabilities based on time {{{t}}} information for {{{0 <= t <= nobs}}} || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{filtered}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Compute filtered probabilities || || {{{smoothed}}} || -- |||| {{{on}}} if neither {{{filtered}}} nor {{{real_time_smoothed}}} is passed |||| |||| |||| Compute smoothed probabilities || || {{{real_time_smoothed}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Compute smoothed probabilities based on time {{{t}}} information for {{{0 <= t <= nobs}}} || |
| Line 103: | Line 103: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{t}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag || || {{{ft}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag -- supersedes {{{t}}} || || {{{outtag}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag -- supersedes {{{t}}} and {{{ft}}}|| || {{{pf}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{simulation_<tag>.out}}} |||| |||| |||| posterior draws fileanme || || {{{pt}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{2}}} |||| |||| |||| proposal type (1=gaussian, 2=power, 3=truncated power, 4=step, 5=truncated gaussian) || || {{{d}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{100,000}}} |||| |||| |||| number proposal draws|| || {{{use_mode}}}|||| -- |||| {{{on}}} |||| |||| |||| use posterior mode as center|| || {{{use_mean}}}|||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| use posterior mean as center|| || {{{of}}} |||| <<string>> |||| {{{mdd_<tag>.out}}} |||| |||| |||| output filename || || {{{l}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{0.1}}} |||| |||| |||| Lower cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. || || {{{h}}} |||| <<double>> |||| {{{0.9}}} |||| |||| |||| Upper cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by power, truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. || || {{{graph}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Produce output suitable for graphing the marginal cummulative densities of the radius of the posterior and elliptical distributions. The marginal data density is not computed. || || {{{print}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Prints the matrices posterior and proposal || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Previous Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{t}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag || || {{{ft}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag -- supersedes {{{t}}} || || {{{outtag}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| |||| |||| |||| filemname tag -- supersedes {{{t}}} and {{{ft}}}|| || {{{pf}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| {{{simulation_<tag>.out}}} |||| |||| |||| posterior draws fileanme || || {{{pt}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{2}}} |||| |||| |||| proposal type ({{{1}}}=gaussian, {{{2}}}=power, {{{3}}}=truncated power, {{{4}}}=step, {{{5}}}=truncated gaussian) || || {{{d}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{100,000}}} |||| |||| |||| number proposal draws|| || {{{use_mode}}}|| -- |||| {{{on}}} |||| |||| |||| use posterior mode as center|| || {{{use_mean}}}|| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| use posterior mean as center|| || {{{of}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| {{{mdd_<tag>.out}}} |||| |||| |||| output filename || || {{{l}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{0.1}}} |||| |||| |||| Lower cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. || || {{{h}}} || {{{<<double>>}}} |||| {{{0.9}}} |||| |||| |||| Upper cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by power, truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. || || {{{graph}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Produce output suitable for graphing the marginal cummulative densities of the radius of the posterior and elliptical distributions. The marginal data density is not computed. || || {{{print}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| |||| Prints the matrices posterior and proposal || |
| Line 120: | Line 120: |
| || '''Standalone Flag''' |||| '''Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option Name''' |||| '''Comments''' || || {{{t}}} |||| <<string>> |||| |||| |||| filemname tag || || {{{horizon}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{12}}} |||| |||| The number of periods to forecast out for || || {{{percentiles}}} |||| <<integer>> <<vector_value>> |||| {{{3 0.16 0.50 0.84}}} |||| |||| Percentiles to compute. The first parameter after percentiles must be the number of percentiles and the following values are the actual percentiles. || || {{{parameter_uncertainty}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| Calculate using parameter uncertainty on top of shock uncertainty || || {{{error_bands}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| Calculate error bands using percentiles || || {{{shocks_per_parameter}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| default = 1 if parameter_uncertainty is set and default = 10,000 otherwise |||| |||| Number of shocks and regime paths to draw for each parameter draw. || || {{{regimes}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| Produces forecasts as if each regime were permanent. || || {{{regime}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| Produces forecasts as if <<integer>> regime were permanent. || || {{{mean}}} |||| -- |||| {{{off}}} |||| |||| Produces mean forecast || || {{{data}}} |||| <<integer>> |||| {{{0}}} |||| |||| Include the last <<integer>> periods in the output || |
|||| '''Standalone Flag and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Default''' ||||'''Dynare Option and Argument''' |||| '''Standalone Flag set by other MS Dynare Option named''' ||||'''Comments''' || || {{{t}}} || {{{<<string>>}}} |||| || || |||| ||||filemname tag || || {{{horizon}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{12}}} || -- || -- |||| {{{forecast}}} ||||The number of periods to forecast out for || || {{{percentiles}}} || [{{{<<integer>>}}} {{{<<double>>}}}] |||| {{{3 0.16 0.50 0.84}}} if {{{error_bands}}} set <<BR>>{{{1 0.50}}} otherwise|| || [{{{<<integer>>}}} {{{<<vector_value>>}}}] |||| |||| Percentiles to compute. The first parameter after percentiles must be the number of percentiles and the following values are the actual percentiles. || || {{{parameter_uncertainty}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| Calculate using parameter uncertainty on top of shock uncertainty || || {{{error_bands}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| Calculate error bands using percentiles || || {{{shocks_per_parameter}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{1}}} if parameter_uncertainty is set and {{{10,000}}} otherwise || || |||| ||||Number of shocks and regime paths to draw for each parameter draw. || || {{{regimes}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| Produces forecasts as if each regime were permanent. || || {{{regime}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| Produces forecasts as if {{{<<integer>>}}} regime were permanent. || || {{{mean}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| Produces mean forecast || || {{{data}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{0}}} || || |||| |||| Include the last {{{<<integer>>}}} periods in the output || || {{{thin}}} || {{{<<integer>>}}} |||| {{{1}}} || || |||| |||| Thinning factor. Only {{{1/thin}}} of the draws in posterior draws file are used.|| || {{{flat}}} || -- |||| {{{free file format}}} || || |||| |||| Assumes that posterior draws is a flat file format. || || {{{nodate}}} || -- |||| {{{off}}} || || |||| |||| If not defined, then the first column of the output is a date number. A date number of one is the first date in the data series, a date number of nobs is the last date in the data series, and date numbers larger than this correspond to forecasts. || |
NB: The Previous Dynare Option Names specified below can be found on MarkovSwitchingOptions.
ms_sbvar new/renamed options
Dynare Option Name |
Argument |
Comments |
Default |
Matlab Variable Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
|||||
create_initialization_file |
<<integer>> |
1. to create init_<output_file_tag>.dat 0. Otherwise |
1 |
|
create_initialization_file |
|||||
mode_compute |
<<integer>> |
1. Use csminwel to estimate the mode 0. Will not try to estimate the model |
1 |
|
estimate_msmodel |
|||||
mode_file |
<<string>> |
Mode file to load instead of re-estimating the model |
|
|
|
|||||
coefficients_prior_hyperparameters |
<<vec_value>> |
Sets the hyper parameters for the sbvar (mu in sz_prd.m), this should be a vector of doubles of length 6 |
[1.0 1.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 1.0] |
|
|
|||||
adaptive_mh_draws |
<<integer>> |
Number of draws for the Adaptive MH step |
|
|
|
|||||
load_mh_file |
<<string>> |
Filename of previously computed simulation run, load this instead of simulating the model again. |
|
|
|
|||||
freq |
<<integer>> |
quarters or months |
4 |
q_m |
freq |
|||||
initial_year |
<<integer>> |
beginning of the year |
|
yrBin |
initial_year |
|||||
initial_subperiod |
<<integer>> |
beginning of the quarter or month |
1 |
qmBin |
initial_subperiod |
|||||
final_year |
<<integer>> |
final year |
|
yrFin |
final_year |
|||||
final_subperiod |
<<integer>> |
final month or quarter |
|
qmFin |
final_subperiod |
|||||
datafile |
<<string>> |
Load data |
|
|
data_file |
|||||
varlist |
<<vec_value>> |
Names of variables |
|
varlist |
varlist |
|||||
restriction_fname |
<<string>> |
file for restriction on time variations |
|
idfile_const |
restriction_fname |
|||||
nlags |
<<integer>> |
Number of lags |
4 |
lags |
nlags |
|||||
cross_restrictions |
<<integer>> |
1: cross-A0-and-A+ restrictions <<BR>> 0: idfile_const is all we have |
0 |
indxc0Pres |
cross_restrictions |
|||||
contemp_reduced_form |
<<integer>> |
1: contemporaneous recursive reduced form <<BR>> 0: restricted (non-recursive) form |
0 |
Rform |
comtemp_reduced_form |
|||||
bayesian_prior |
<<integer>> |
1: Bayesian prior <<BR>> 0: no prior |
1 |
indxPrior |
bayesian_prior |
|||||
alpha |
<<double>> |
Alpha value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda. |
1.0 |
galp |
alpha |
|||||
beta |
<<double>> |
Beta value for squared time-varying structural shock lambda. |
1.0 |
gbeta |
beta |
|||||
gsig2_lmd |
<<integer>> |
Case 4 (no state change across variables (i) and across lags (l); only one scale factor for all lagged variables change from state to state). Normal prior variance for structural shock lambda, one scale factor for all lagged D+ in a given equation. |
502 |
gsig2_lmd |
gsig2_lmd |
|||||
gsig2_lmdm |
<<integer>> |
Case 3 (no state change across lags (l) but allows all variables for a given lag to switch states). Normal prior variance for different variables in lagged D+. |
502 |
gsig2_lmdm |
gsig2_lmdm |
|||||
Create Init File Mex Function
Create Init File Syntax (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/create_init_file.c):<<BR>><<BR>> create_init_file <matlab filename> <markov filename> <file tag>
Standalone Argument |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||
<matlab filename> |
None. Set automatically in sz_prd.m |
|
matlab file name |
|||
<markov filename> |
markov_file |
markov_file |
Markov file name |
|||
<file tag> |
output_file_tag |
output_file_tag |
The output file tag |
|||
Estimation, Simulation, Probabilities, Marginal Data Densitiy, IRF, Forecast Mex Function
Top Level Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/dw_sbvar_command_line.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option and Argument |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
estimate |
-- |
-- |
estimate_msmodel |
|
estimate_msmodel |
produces estimation - posterior mode or maximum likelihood |
|||
simulate |
-- |
-- |
print_draws |
|
print_draws |
produces simulation run |
|||
probabilities |
-- |
-- |
compute_probabilities |
|
compute_probabilities |
produces smoothed or filtered probabilities |
|||
mdd |
-- |
-- |
compute_mdd |
|
compute_mdd |
produces marginal data density from posterior draws |
|||
forecast |
-- |
-- |
forecast |
<<integer>> |
|
produces mean forecast |
|||
ir |
-- |
-- |
irf |
<<integer>> |
|
produces impulse responses for a given set of parameters |
|||
ir |
-- |
-- |
bayesian_irf |
<<integer>> |
|
produces banded impulse responses |
|||
historical |
-- |
-- |
|
|
|
produces historical decomposition |
|||
smoothedshocks |
-- |
-- |
|
|
|
produces smoothed shocks |
|||
smoothedstates |
-- |
-- |
|
|
|
produces smoothed states |
|||
seed |
<<integer>> |
0 (i.e. random) |
set by set_dynare_seed() in .mod file |
|
|
seed value for random number generation |
|||
General Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/dw_sbvar_command_line.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
di |
<<string>> |
./ |
not supported |
|
input files are in specified directory |
||||
do |
<<string>> |
./ |
not supported |
|
output files are in specified directory |
||||
fs |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
specification file name |
||||
fp |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
parameter file name |
||||
ph |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
header for the parameters |
||||
pho |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
parameter header used for output |
||||
MLE |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
Determines if estimation finds the posterior mode or maximum likelihood. If ph or is not present, determines whether the input parameter header is "MLE: " or "Posterior mode: ". |
||||
fo |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
output file name |
||||
ft |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
The input file tag. Is used to create input filenames if the fs or fp options are not present. |
||||
fto |
<<string>> |
associated with ft |
output_file_tag |
output_file_tag |
The output file tag. Used to create output filenames. |
||||
Estimation Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_estimate.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
cb |
<<double>> |
1.0e-03 |
|
|
convergence criterion starting value |
||||
ce |
<<double>> |
1.0e-06 |
|
|
convergence criterion ending value |
||||
ci |
<<double>> |
0.1 |
|
|
convergence criterion increment value |
||||
ib |
<<integer>> |
50 |
|
|
maximum interations starting value |
||||
ii |
<<double>> |
2.0 |
|
|
maximum interations increment value |
||||
mb |
<<integer>> |
100 |
|
|
maximum block iterations |
||||
Simulation Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_simulate.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
ndraws |
<<integer>> |
1000 |
mh_replic |
mh_replic |
Number of draws to save |
||||
burnin |
<<integer>> |
0.1*ndraws |
drop |
draws_nbr_burn_in_1 draws_nbr_burn_in_2 |
The number of samples to drop at the beginning of the sampling period |
||||
thin |
<<integer>> |
1 |
thinning_factor |
thinning_factor |
Thinning factor. Total number of draws made is thin*ndraws+burnin |
||||
mh |
<<integer>> |
30000 |
adaptive_mh_draws |
|
Tuning period for Metropolis-Hasting draws |
||||
flat |
-- |
off |
|
|
Produce flat output file and header |
||||
nofree |
-- |
off |
|
|
Do not produce free parameters file |
||||
nd1 |
-- |
off |
|
|
Normalize diagonal of A0 to one (flat output only) |
||||
Probabilities Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_probabilities.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
filtered |
-- |
off |
|
|
Compute filtered probabilities |
||||
smoothed |
-- |
on if neither filtered nor real_time_smoothed is passed |
|
|
Compute smoothed probabilities |
||||
real_time_smoothed |
-- |
off |
|
|
Compute smoothed probabilities based on time t information for 0 <= t <= nobs |
||||
Marginal Data Density Options (from switch_dw/switching/dw_mdd_switch.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option Name |
Previous Dynare Option Name |
Comments |
|||||
t |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
filemname tag |
||||
ft |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
filemname tag -- supersedes t |
||||
outtag |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
filemname tag -- supersedes t and ft |
||||
pf |
<<string>> |
simulation_<tag>.out |
|
|
posterior draws fileanme |
||||
pt |
<<integer>> |
2 |
|
|
proposal type (1=gaussian, 2=power, 3=truncated power, 4=step, 5=truncated gaussian) |
||||
d |
<<integer>> |
100,000 |
|
|
number proposal draws |
||||
use_mode |
-- |
on |
|
|
use posterior mode as center |
||||
use_mean |
-- |
off |
|
|
use posterior mean as center |
||||
of |
<<string>> |
mdd_<tag>.out |
|
|
output filename |
||||
l |
<<double>> |
0.1 |
|
|
Lower cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. |
||||
h |
<<double>> |
0.9 |
|
|
Upper cutoff for in terms of probability. Used by power, truncated power, truncated gaussian, step, and uniform. |
||||
graph |
-- |
off |
|
|
Produce output suitable for graphing the marginal cummulative densities of the radius of the posterior and elliptical distributions. The marginal data density is not computed. |
||||
-- |
off |
|
|
Prints the matrices posterior and proposal |
|||||
Forecast Options (from switch_dw/state_space/sbvar/sbvar_forecast.c):
Standalone Flag and Argument |
Standalone Default |
Dynare Option and Argument |
Standalone Flag set by other MS Dynare Option named |
Comments |
|||||
t |
<<string>> |
|
|
|
|
filemname tag |
|||
horizon |
<<integer>> |
12 |
-- |
-- |
forecast |
The number of periods to forecast out for |
|||
percentiles |
[<<integer>> <<double>>] |
3 0.16 0.50 0.84 if error_bands set |
|
[<<integer>> <<vector_value>>] |
|
Percentiles to compute. The first parameter after percentiles must be the number of percentiles and the following values are the actual percentiles. |
|||
parameter_uncertainty |
-- |
off |
|
|
|
Calculate using parameter uncertainty on top of shock uncertainty |
|||
error_bands |
-- |
off |
|
|
|
Calculate error bands using percentiles |
|||
shocks_per_parameter |
<<integer>> |
1 if parameter_uncertainty is set and 10,000 otherwise |
|
|
|
Number of shocks and regime paths to draw for each parameter draw. |
|||
regimes |
-- |
off |
|
|
|
Produces forecasts as if each regime were permanent. |
|||
regime |
<<integer>> |
off |
|
|
|
Produces forecasts as if <<integer>> regime were permanent. |
|||
mean |
-- |
off |
|
|
|
Produces mean forecast |
|||
data |
<<integer>> |
0 |
|
|
|
Include the last <<integer>> periods in the output |
|||
thin |
<<integer>> |
1 |
|
|
|
Thinning factor. Only 1/thin of the draws in posterior draws file are used. |
|||
flat |
-- |
free file format |
|
|
|
Assumes that posterior draws is a flat file format. |
|||
nodate |
-- |
off |
|
|
|
If not defined, then the first column of the output is a date number. A date number of one is the first date in the data series, a date number of nobs is the last date in the data series, and date numbers larger than this correspond to forecasts. |
|||