=== Example : === [[http://www.kansascityfed.org/PUBLICAT/ECONREV/PDF/10q2Davig_Hakkio.pdf|What is the effect of financial stress on economic activity ?]], Troy Davig and Craig Hakkio (2010) [[attachment:DH10.mod]] [[attachment:DavigHakkio10.mat]] Some differences with their paper : * Instead of using the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), the MOD file considers the log of the interpolated monthly real GDP (constructed using the Chow-Lin procedure, 1971). Three monthly series used in the procedure : industrial production index, real personal consumption expenditures and all employees: total nonfarm. * The coefficients b_{11} and b_{22} are considered constant in Davig and Hakkio (2010) whereas in the MOD file, they follow the markov switching process.