

%-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                   % The macroeconomic Effect of Non-Zero Trend Inflation

%-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


% endogenous variables 
 
var 
c                          %consumption
b                          %money demand shock
m                          %nominal balances
lambda                     %lagrange multiplier
r                          %nominal interest rate
pi                         %inflation rate
h                          %hours worked
i                          %real investment
k                          %capital stock
y                          %output
ys                         %aggregate output 
s                          %aggregate prices indicator
q                          % real rental rate of capital
w                          % real wages
psi                        % real marginal cost
a                          %technology level
pstar                      %optimal price
x                          %price evolution indicator 1
z                          %price evolution price indicator 2

;

%exogenous shocks 

varexo er, ea, eb;

%model parameters

parameters beta, sigma, eta, alpha, theta, delta, phi, d, rhor, rhopi, rhoy, rhob, sigma_eb, rhoa, sigma_ea, sigma_er, ybar, pibar, Rs, As, Bs;  


%---------------------calibration-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

beta=0.99;                      %discount factor

sigma=0.25;                     %elasticity of substitution between consumption and real balances

eta=1.5;                        % 

alpha=0.34;                     %elasticity of substitution between capital and hours worked

theta=0.01;                     %elasticity of substitution between types of differentiated intermediate goods

delta=0.025;                    %depreciation rate of capital

phi=10.0;                       %parameter of adjustment costs of investment

d=0.75;                         %calvo parameter

rhor=0.80;                      %the Taylor rule interest rate parameter

rhopi=1.50;                        %the Taylor rule inflation rate parameter

rhoy=0.20;                      %the Taylor rule output parameter

rhob=0.80;                      %money demand shock parameter

sigma_eb=0.01;                  %std.dev of money demand stochastic shock 

rhoa=0.80;                      %technologic shock parameter

sigma_ea=0.01;                    %std.dev of the technologic shock

sigma_er=0.01;                    %std.dev of the monetary policy shock

ybar=0.7877;                      %steady state output

pibar=(1.0)^(1/4);              %steady state price

Rs=pibar/beta;

As=1;
Bs=1;




model;

%---------FOC Households--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

c^(-1/sigma)/(c^((sigma-1)/sigma)+(b^(1/sigma))*(m^((sigma-1)/sigma)))=lambda; %eq1

b^(1/sigma)*m^(-1/sigma)/(c^((sigma-1)/sigma)+(b^(1/sigma))*(m^((sigma-1)/sigma)))=lambda*(1-(1/r)); %eq2

lambda=beta*lambda(+1)*(r/(pi(+1))); %eq3

eta/(1-h)=lambda*w; %eq4

lambda*(1 + phi*((i/k(-1))-delta))=beta*lambda(+1)*(1+q(+1)-delta+(phi*((i(+1)/k)-delta)+(phi/2)*((i(+1)/k)-delta)^2)); %eq5
   

%-----------law of the accumilation of capital------------------------------------------------------------------

k=(1-delta)*k(-1)+i; %eq6

%-----------FOC firms-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ys=y*s; %eq7
ys=a*(k(-1)^(1-alpha))*(h^alpha); %eq8
q=(1-alpha)*psi*(ys/k(-1));     %eq9
w=alpha*psi*(ys/h);             %eq10
y=c+k+(1-delta)*k(-1)+((phi/2)*(((i/k(-1))-delta)^2)*(k(-1)));   %eq11

%-------------Taylor rule--------------------------------------------------------------

r=(Rs^(1-rhor))*(r(-1)^(rhor))*((pi/pibar)^(rhopi))*((y/ybar)^(rhoy))*exp(er); %eq12


%-----------------Shock---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

b=(b(-1)^(rhob))*(Bs^(1-rhob))*exp(eb);  %eq13

a=(As^(1-rhoa))*(a(-1)^(rhoa))*exp(ea);  %eq14

%--------------------calvo pricing--------------------------------------------------------------------------

s=(1-d)*(pstar^(-theta))+d*(pi^(theta))*s(-1);       %eq15
1=d*(pi^(theta-1))+(1-d)*(pstar^(1-theta));       %eq16
x=y*psi*(pstar(-1)^(-theta-1))+d*beta*(lambda(+1)/lambda)*((pstar/pstar(+1))^(-theta-1))*(pi(+1)^(theta))*x(+1); %eq17
z=y*(pstar(-1)^(-theta))+d*beta*(lambda(+1)/lambda)*((pstar/pstar(+1))^(-theta))*(pi(+1)^(theta-1))*z(+1);    %eq18
x=((theta-1)/theta)*z;   %eq19
end;

initval;
y=0.78;
c=0.64;
m=0.50;
i=0.14;
h=0.33;
w=1.45;
pi=1;
psi=0.87;
r=1;
a=0;
b=0;
s=1;
k=6.35;
q=0.035;
pstar=1.5;
end;

steady;
check;

shocks; 
var er; stderr 0.4;
%var ea; stderr 1;
%var eb; stderr 1.736;
end;




stoch_simul(irf=20, AR=6) y c h i m w pi r;
