%1996.1Q - 2015.4Qdata_q = [4.3584	-0.1666	-0.0358	2.3783	1.5598	1.01340.3421	-1.6881	0.8579	1.8148	0.7225	-0.31791.3776	-0.2131	1.1675	-0.0698	-0.8631	-1.27730.6827	-3.383	0.8545	-0.7293	11.4653	-1.13870.1776	1.6703	0.5329	-2.4594	-0.6036	-8.47411.9743	4.2135	1.8279	-1.7941	1.2151	-2.716-4.096	-0.4682	2.0333	-1.0099	-7.9225	-11.5902-3.2225	-0.192	1.6654	-0.9288	8.9532	-22.2838-4.8155	-1.1941	0.2662	2.8281	-3.4531	-12.9107-2.1768	-1.7664	-1.8715	2.196	-0.8924	-5.5117-1.3251	-2.4587	-0.9628	3.3624	6.7672	2.2405-6.8592	-2.6621	-0.2552	1.0305	4.931	11.1691-6.2005	-2.2503	-1.5432	-2.7051	4.9469	10.3507-3.1019	-2.3037	-1.7719	-1.2156	-0.9207	11.04410.9776	2.3909	-1.7555	-1.5928	-4.093	1.85323.6063	8.0562	-0.6978	1.8562	2.5124	23.34061.8716	2.2261	-0.6147	-0.4183	-0.2081	17.70751.877	4.147	0.689	-0.0551	-2.7679	7.19220.8577	3.198	0.6875	0.5994	-3.9411	1.80313.5224	2.796	0.3949	-0.0217	-4.7509	0.22571.9804	0.5473	1.4862	1.4077	-5.825	-8.22053.8493	0.9988	0.2877	-2.0672	-4.702	-7.25054.2454	0.7115	-0.3889	0.4793	-6.8283	1.0172.6894	-1.7113	-0.5185	0.7104	-5.3192	11.84876.5443	-0.9599	-0.4717	0.0711	-4.5357	7.93622.2704	-1.2407	-0.534	-2.4041	-4.8571	15.70556.4086	-2.0712	-0.5443	1.9743	-6.182	19.21383.0776	-1.9892	-0.4643	2.1576	-7.6857	9.08160.7362	-1.1813	-0.292	0.1202	-0.251	8.586.0675	-0.2296	-1.787	-0.6955	0.3481	5.19320.3784	-0.4376	-0.6714	0.4803	-2.719	-5.8321-4.4397	1.2259	-1.5622	1.1038	-5.7676	-26.7166-2.3885	0.0826	-0.9225	-1.7817	14.4905	-2.7111-2.5302	0.38	-1.0719	-3.5533	4.3785	-7.2794-4.1144	0.8853	-0.9185	-3.3435	2.705	-9.2111-3.6071	-0.8666	-0.8492	-2.0841	-1.8281	-27.4959-4.8566	-0.9614	-0.9581	-0.4196	8.8452	-8.2373-3.9925	-1.678	-1.4441	-2.8037	2.2867	0.6781-1.0966	-2.5425	-1.2337	-3.3265	3.2	-13.11170.1929	-0.598	-0.8324	-3.6039	2.8321	0.1083-2.5132	-2.6188	-0.5544	1.1957	6.5856	4.3357-5.8285	-1.5561	-0.6788	-1.445	3.2383	-6.6733-4.204	-0.3837	-0.5882	-2.6331	-0.0627	3.8343.1668	-0.146	0.2205	-0.1525	0.1668	2.7516-6.735	1.2213	2.9875	3.8439	2.6481	-9.4172-0.6709	0.1947	2.8853	6.3688	0.404	-13.63210.0692	0.163	1.7585	7.748	-4.2345	-4.4053-1.1558	0.3051	1.8981	7.8477	-3.8127	-6.0394-5.2665	0.2049	1.8724	-3.6367	-4.2355	-17.0152-2.3172	0.0262	1.8702	-7.5546	-5.6494	-8.5738-2.1707	-2.9215	0.9259	-12.1878	-5.5698	-12.15473.2577	-0.00819	-1.0888	-11.1854	-3.9259	6.00237.3951	-2.4623	-3.165	-3.7328	0.0794	27.96940.00447	-2.1662	-2.3691	3.3834	4.8283	27.21340.1673	-0.2575	-1.248	3.0344	2.9	13.37245.4377	-0.8488	-0.4644	1.0944	1.0776	2.6227-1.0631	0.2805	0.2246	3.9872	0.4412	22.7163-0.9522	0.1784	0.6979	3.8284	4.3061	4.02973.4726	1.0138	0.939	3.7486	0.0674	4.81463.2263	3.1294	1.1928	5.928	1.3922	2.9849-0.4714	2.515	2.4701	6.7626	3.5933	-4.96637.3951	2.1496	2.9296	4.7996	2.2965	-5.04651.1875	2.1325	2.6255	2.8543	0.8716	-5.92241.4999	-7.8148	1.7258	0.8174	-1.387	-10.64738.1247	1.4573	1.1792	-2.603	1.0366	1.55042.6031	2.2503	1.2339	-0.371	1.5997	3.39195.0121	4.7193	0.8739	1.7569	1.385	4.4676-2.9243	4.3883	0.6734	1.8941	0.7581	2.14382.9026	3.7448	0.6598	3.1053	1.8209	1.1458-2.9622	2.7804	0.285	2.2032	2.0082	1.866-3.3421	2.3468	0.3793	2.6222	2.4968	-1.47241.3579	2.7138	0.2995	1.6503	0.976	-3.24860.7588	0.7809	-0.528	-0.9451	1.4536	-0.96670.7298	0.4889	-0.5117	-2.2205	1.6978	-3.482-7.2821	-1.4304	-0.2319	-2.8774	-0.00902	-4.7791-8.5075	-1.6083	-0.6472	-1.5988	-0.9652	-4.2975-2.9932	-0.3733	-1.7357	-6.1439	-0.2807	2.16912.7164	-3.8353	-1.4378	-1.4435	-2.6878	-3.36084.3975	-4.2332	-2.3641	-2.038	-6.011	-0.1098-4.7649	-4.8364	-2.9728	-3.1927	-6.5406	1.8126];g_obs = data_q(:,1);m_obs = data_q(:,2);y_obs = data_q(:,3);y_h_obs = data_q(:,4);i_obs = data_q(:,5);i_g_obs = data_q(:,6);