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2.85 -13.48 0 0.49 -1.93 0.24 -1.41 0.48 -0.41 0.52 0.78 0.52 1.13 1.84 13.69 2.84 51.03 11.12 12.31 4.56 -13.48 0 -0.75 -3.49 -0.8 -2.41 0.68 0.17 0.49 0.84 0.5 1.05 -8.99 15.84 2.14 47.32 -3.71 15.73 3.42 -13.48 0 -3.08 -6.6 -2.48 -4.12 0.15 0.96 0.13 1.4 0.52 0.58 -33.1 3.88 -11.96 11.45 -35.87 5.88 -9.85 -13.48 0 -1.19 -8.91 -1.44 -6.66 0.26 -2.74 0.05 1.37 0.48 0.38 -11.12 -0.03 -3.91 -4.32 -15.77 -0.06 -5.95 -13.48 0 -0.05 -5.1 -0.34 -8.17 -0.17 2.61 0.05 1.17 0.49 0.6 11.35 1.16 1.19 -2.48 1.84 -0.31 -0.24 -13.48 0 1 -1.32 0.05 -9.36 -0.02 0.7 0.04 0.79 0.51 0.53 11.67 3.68 2.51 0.13 2.60 1.64 1.95 -13.48 0 0.13 -1.24 0.68 -9.83 0.29 0.29 0.03 0.72 0.46 0.55 8.63 6.14 2.46 11.62 11.49 3.35 1.71 -13.48 0 0.4 -0.52 0.29 -9.49 0.35 -1.01 0.03 0.64 0.47 0.55 3.83 7.33 1.19 19.79 8.18 5.34 2 -13.48 0 0.26 2.58 0.74 -8.67 0.44 0.78 0.05 0.67 0.48 0.63 1.39 6.79 -0.54 16.72 -3.08 6.06 0.71 -13.48 0 0.27 -0.69 0.43 -8.45 0.45 0.11 0.05 0.75 0.46 0.5 -3.89 7.26 0.46 17.85 1.13 5.49 -0.56 -13.48 0 0.81 1.71 0.44 -8.71 0.51 -0.01 0.05 0.76 0.46 0.6 9.87 9.66 2.4 23.18 5.33 7.57 2.08 -13.48 0 0.79 -0.23 -0.38 -8.77 0.4 1.21 0.04 0.66 0.45 0.83 8.17 11.92 2.26 31.66 8.47 10.9 3.33 -13.48 0 0.44 1.76 0.59 -8.6 0.64 -0.91 0.02 0.66 0.52 0.93 0.96 14.14 2.22 36.19 4.53 13.61 2.71 -13.48 0 0.22 2.86 0.11 -8.58 0.63 0.11 0.02 0.76 0.51 0.73 -8.2 13.42 -0.72 34.29 -1.90 13.55 -0.06 -13.48 0 0.56 2.2 0.95 -8.07 0.13 -1.3 0.02 0.8 0.5 0.68 -0.36 13.3 -0.12 31.82 -2.47 12.42 -1.14 -13.48 0 -0.04 1.13 0.08 -7.84 0.49 1.67 0.03 0.79 0.5 0.75 9.15 13.11 -0.19 31.45 -0.36 12.29 -0.12 -13.48 0 0.07 0.88 0.08 -8.1 0.44 0.04 0.04 0.82 0.48 0.65 -0.5 11.61 -1.51 24.95 -6.50 11.38 -0.91 -13.48 0 0.08 0.26 0.44 -8.23 0.52 -0.35 0.04 0.81 0.49 0.7 3.24 12.09 0.48 27.38 2.43 10.67 -0.71 -13.48 0 0.21 2.47 -0.21 -7.77 0.36 2 0.04 0.72 0.46 0.65 1.26 12.56 0.48 29.77 2.39 10.9 0.22 -13.48 0 0.14 -0.49 0.01 -8.04 0.41 -1.92 0.04 0.72 0.46 0.7 7 12.16 -0.4 29.98 0.20 10.93 0.04 -13.48 0 0.05 1.58 0.2 -7.99 0.18 0.39 0.03 0.71 0.44 0.65 6.04 11.15 -1.01 29.98 0.00 9.77 -1.16 -13.48 0 ]; % spread data included in not the CMR one % data is from 1981Q1 till 2013Q2 series=zeros(130,19); series(:,1) = data_q(:,1); %change in log cons series(:,2) = data_q(:,2); %change in log inve series(:,3) = data_q(:,3); %change in log GDP series(:,4) = data_q(:,4); %deviation from average log emp series(:,5) = data_q(:,5); %infl series(:,6) = data_q(:,6); %change in log wage rate series(:,7) = data_q(:,7); %quarterly interest rate series(:,8) = data_q(:,8); %quarterly spread series(:,9) = data_q(:,9); %avg inflation forecast over 10 yr period - converted according to the measure in Schorfheide & Giannoni (2013): {(converted - 0.50)/(1/4)} where 0.5 is the average difference between GDP defl infla vs CPI inflation series(:,10) = data_q(:,10); %avg inflation forecast over 1 yr period (uni of michigan consumer survey) - converted according to the measure in Schorfheide & Giannoni (2013): {(converted - 0.50)/(1/4)} where 0.5 is the average difference between GDP defl infla vs CPI inflation series(:,11) = data_q(:,11); %change in networth data series(:,12) = data_q(:,12); %log real energy price data (deflated producers price index for finished energy goods) series(:,13) = data_q(:,13); %change in log real energy prices data series(:,14) = data_q(:,14); %log real PPI crude material prices data series(:,15) = data_q(:,15); %first difference of log real PPI crude... series(:,16) = data_q(:,16); %log real PPI intermediate material prices data series(:,17) = data_q(:,17); %first difference of log real PPI inter... series(:,18) = data_q(:,18); %log real PPI intermediate material prices data - no price change from 2002Q2 series(:,19) = data_q(:,19); %first difference of log real PPI inter... - no price change from 2002Q2 series=(series(:,:)) dc = series(:,1); dinve = series(:,2); dy = series(:,3); labobs = series(:,4); pinfobs = series(:,5); dw = series(:,6); robs = series(:,7); spread = series(:,8); inflcast10yr = series(:,9); inflcast1yr = series(:,10); dn = series(:,11); oilppi = series(:,12); doilppi = series(:,13); ppicrude = series(:,14); dppicrude = series(:,15); ppiinter = series(:,16); dppiinter = series(:,17); ppiinter_dummy = series(:,18); dppiinter_dummy = series(:,19);