does similar prior mean and posterior mean sound bad?
Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2017 9:22 am
Dear Johannes,
First thank you very much for your kind help, I am grateful.
I have recently asked some people to review my paper, and some of them criticized that since the prior means and posterior means of my DSGE model is quite close, they don't feel that anything has come from the data and the results are worrying.
However, I believe there are potential reasons for this, I have small prior variances, the number of state variables are much larger than the number of observed variables, potential model misspecification.
Could you please let me know are the results worrying if prior means and posterior means are quite close?
Thank you very much and look forward to hearing from you.
Kind regards,
Jesse
First thank you very much for your kind help, I am grateful.
I have recently asked some people to review my paper, and some of them criticized that since the prior means and posterior means of my DSGE model is quite close, they don't feel that anything has come from the data and the results are worrying.
However, I believe there are potential reasons for this, I have small prior variances, the number of state variables are much larger than the number of observed variables, potential model misspecification.
Could you please let me know are the results worrying if prior means and posterior means are quite close?
Thank you very much and look forward to hearing from you.
Kind regards,
Jesse