multiple chains and posterior plot

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multiple chains and posterior plot

Postby DW916 » Sun Apr 02, 2017 12:02 pm

Dear Johannes,

There has been a question confusing me for a long time. Hope seek some help from you.

If I run 3 chains in estimation, each chain 100,000 draws, drop first half. Then how to explain the normal distributed posterior plot? Does that mean total 50,000+50,000+50,000 draws distribution? How can I know each chain's draws?

Many thanks.

Catherine
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Re: multiple chains and posterior plot

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Apr 02, 2017 4:55 pm

The prior posterior plots pool the draws from the the different chains after the burnin, use a subsample from these draws and then use a kernel density estimate.

There is currently no way to select draws from a particular chain. You can only use
Code: Select all
trace_plot

to plot draws from the different chains.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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