Interpretation of shocks in IRFs
Posted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:38 pm
Hi,
I have estimated a small scale NKM with bayesian inference. Suppose I only have two shocks, a monetary shock and a technology shock, with the standard errors of the shocks (estimated with inv_gamma_pdf) being 0.55 and 1.7, respectively.
In the shock block, I wrote:
shocks;
var em; stderr 0.55;
var ez; stderr 1.7;
end;
How should I interpret the results of the IRF? Let's take the monetary shock. What is the correct interpretation, that say GDP declined by X% following a one standard deviation shock or a 1% shock? If the former is the correct interpretation, what should I do to shock the model by 1%, since I am interested in this interpretation?
Thanks for your help.
I have estimated a small scale NKM with bayesian inference. Suppose I only have two shocks, a monetary shock and a technology shock, with the standard errors of the shocks (estimated with inv_gamma_pdf) being 0.55 and 1.7, respectively.
In the shock block, I wrote:
shocks;
var em; stderr 0.55;
var ez; stderr 1.7;
end;
How should I interpret the results of the IRF? Let's take the monetary shock. What is the correct interpretation, that say GDP declined by X% following a one standard deviation shock or a 1% shock? If the former is the correct interpretation, what should I do to shock the model by 1%, since I am interested in this interpretation?
Thanks for your help.