Mean: conditional or unconditional ?

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Mean: conditional or unconditional ?

Postby petros_varth » Sun Oct 02, 2011 3:30 pm

Hi All,

The mean in the MOMENTS matrix of Dynare output is the conditional or unconditional mean, in the terminology of Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe (2004) JEDC?

I am talking about second order approximation case.

Thanks.

P.
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Re: Mean: conditional or unconditional ?

Postby ahnulxy » Fri Feb 14, 2014 11:11 pm

The theoretical mean could be obtained by summing up the steady state and the mean correction term in oo_.gamma_y{nar+3}.
Technically speaking, the mean should be unconditional. It should be average over all possible states, i.e. across the distribution of the initial states, hence unconditional. I do not so guarantee about this, this is just my understanding.
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Re: Mean: conditional or unconditional ?

Postby jpfeifer » Sat Feb 15, 2014 2:56 pm

Yes, it is the unconditional one.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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