Simulation Unit Root with drift
Posted: Mon Dec 26, 2011 9:18 pm
Hi, I have a unit root process with drift. The policy function looks fine, but when I want to simulate de process using dynare it seems to be without the drift, does anyone know why the simulated variable is not trending???
best,
var y_bar ;
unit_root_vars y_bar;
parameters D_y_bar ;
varexo sh_y_bar;
D_y_bar = 0.04 ; %% drift
model;
y_bar/y_bar(-1) = exp( D_y_bar + sh_y_bar );
end;
steady_state_model;
y_bar = 1;
end;
check;
shocks;
var sh_y_bar ; stderr 0.01;
end;
stoch_simul(order=1,irf=40, periods=1000);
plot(oo_.endo_simul(1,:)');legend('unit root drift?');
best,
var y_bar ;
unit_root_vars y_bar;
parameters D_y_bar ;
varexo sh_y_bar;
D_y_bar = 0.04 ; %% drift
model;
y_bar/y_bar(-1) = exp( D_y_bar + sh_y_bar );
end;
steady_state_model;
y_bar = 1;
end;
check;
shocks;
var sh_y_bar ; stderr 0.01;
end;
stoch_simul(order=1,irf=40, periods=1000);
plot(oo_.endo_simul(1,:)');legend('unit root drift?');