why do we need to drop the beginning simulated values?

This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location where you will have to reset your password.
Forum rules
This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location (https://forum.dynare.org) where you will have to reset your password.

why do we need to drop the beginning simulated values?

Postby flyingpig » Sun Apr 22, 2012 10:06 am

I dont understand what is the purpose of 'drop=300' or anynumber in some .mod file compiled by other people. Why do we need to drop the first 100 values to calculate the statistics?
flyingpig
 
Posts: 17
Joined: Mon Mar 05, 2012 8:59 am

Re: why do we need to drop the beginning simulated values?

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Apr 22, 2012 1:57 pm

Your model simulation can be seen as an ergodic Markov process. Dropping initial periods assures that the model converges to the ergodic distribution and the effect of the starting values (i.e. the steady state, which is not identical to the mean of the ergodic distribution) washes out.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


Return to Dynare help

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests

cron