Initializing Kalman Filter by training sample

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Initializing Kalman Filter by training sample

Postby richardgu26 » Mon Jun 24, 2013 12:59 pm

Dear all,

In paper reading I've realized that many empirical economists, instead of using initial value to start Kalman filter by some guess values, deploy training sample to reach that end. For example, the sample range is from 1960Q1 to 2012Q4; the training sample starts from 1950Q1 to 1959Q4. In most common case, beta and sigma by OLS will be used as initial values for kalman filter and ML estimation.

So I read Dynare manual, and only find presample option. I have no idea whether this option is designed to do the same as training sample. If not, then how am I supposed to do?

Thanks in advance.

richardgu26
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Re: Initializing Kalman Filter by training sample

Postby jpfeifer » Mon Jun 24, 2013 7:51 pm

You are correct. The presample periods are used to initialize the Kalman filter. Only time periods after the presample enter the actual likelihood computations.

The manual will be updated soon.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: Initializing Kalman Filter by training sample

Postby richardgu26 » Tue Jun 25, 2013 1:53 am

Good to know! Thanks for your quick reply!

richardgu26

jpfeifer wrote:You are correct. The presample periods are used to initialize the Kalman filter. Only time periods after the presample enter the actual likelihood computations.

The manual will be updated soon.
richardgu26
 
Posts: 13
Joined: Wed May 22, 2013 6:41 am


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