Acceptance Rate

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Acceptance Rate

Postby Daniel Bendel » Mon Feb 24, 2014 6:48 pm

Is it a problem, when the acceptance ratio in a bayesian estimation is below the commly recommended value of about 1/3?
As a relatively low acceptance rate makes it more likely that the MCMC travels through the whole domain, a low value of the acceptance rate shouldn't be a problem. Am I right?
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Re: Acceptance Rate

Postby jpfeifer » Tue Feb 25, 2014 6:23 am

See http://www.dynare.org/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=5307 and the reference therein. Short answer: if you have enough draws, a low acceptance rate is no problem.
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Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
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Re: Acceptance Rate

Postby Daniel Bendel » Tue Feb 25, 2014 10:56 am

Thanks again for your answer!!!

Just two other questions:
1. Is it possible to make dynare's search for steady state values faster? I already give dynare very very good starting values. But I was wondering if I should write a steady state file. Where can I find an example for such a file? The example file of dynare was not very helpful for me. Perhaps you know a better example.
2. Where can I find a step by step documentation of what dynare is doing during bayesian estimation? (This documentation should explain such encrypted messages as "Now I am climbing the hill". This would be great for a better understanding.) Do you know any?
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Re: Acceptance Rate

Postby jpfeifer » Wed Feb 26, 2014 11:15 am

1. If you can solve for your steady state analytically, always use a steady state file or the steady_state_model-block. In 4.4 you should also find examples for the latter. Note also that in 4.4. the NK_baseline_steady_state.m has been cleaned up.
2. What you are referring to is not Bayesian estimation, but mode_compute=6. The Bayesian estimation follows e.g. An/Schorfheide(2007). For mode_compute=6, see http://www.dynare.org/DynareWiki/MonteCarloOptimization
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University of Cologne
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