SmoothedVariables inconsistency when using mode vs. MH mean

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SmoothedVariables inconsistency when using mode vs. MH mean

Postby vn13 » Tue Jul 22, 2014 7:57 pm

Dear Dynare users,

I have noticed an inconsistency when analyzing smoothed variables produced using posterior mode vs. posterior mean. When the observable data has a non-zero steady state (the data is not demeaned prior to estimation, and I set the steady states in .mod file equal to sample means), using estimated posterior mode I get in oo_.SmoothedVariables.obs_data a smoothed series which I believe is represented in deviations form steady state as it has a zero mean. But when doing some MH draws and using ‘smoother’ in estimation command, the same smoothed observable variable, located now in oo_.SmoothedVariables.Mean.obs_data, is identical to the actual observable, i.e. is not in deviations from steady state.

If anybody encountered the same issue, please confirm.

Also, I believe the treatment should be the same, i.e. smoothed variables constructed under the two alternatives should be both stored as deviations from steady state, or as actual levels.

I am using Dynare 4.4.2.

Thank you!
vn13
 
Posts: 4
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2014 7:39 pm

Re: SmoothedVariables inconsistency when using mode vs. MH m

Postby jpfeifer » Wed Jul 23, 2014 9:19 am

I can confirm this inconsistency. We are working on fixing it (among other things): https://github.com/DynareTeam/dynare/issues/679
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
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Location: Cologne, Germany

Re: SmoothedVariables inconsistency when using mode vs. MH m

Postby vn13 » Wed Jul 23, 2014 11:33 am

OK.

Thanks a lot!
vn13
 
Posts: 4
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2014 7:39 pm


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