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Standard deviations of estimated parameters are strange

PostPosted: Tue Aug 04, 2015 5:08 am
by earsmall
I performed a DSGE estimation with 1000,000 posterior draws.
However, one strange thing is that posterior standard deviations of estimated parameters are exactly same as those of prior.

Q: Is there any way I can check simulated series which will be length of 500,000 (because I burned in 50%).

Re: Standard deviations of estimated parameters are strange

PostPosted: Tue Aug 04, 2015 5:32 am
by jpfeifer
If you are referring to the table column "pstdev" that actually is the prior standard deviation, not the posterior one. For the posterior we only report the 90% HPD interval.

If that is not the problem, check identification.

Re: Standard deviations of estimated parameters are strange

PostPosted: Tue Aug 04, 2015 6:48 am
by earsmall
Thanks for your reply.

Then, is there any way I can compute posterior standard deviations on my own?
In other words, if simulated series are stored, we could calculate them.

Re: Standard deviations of estimated parameters are strange

PostPosted: Wed Aug 05, 2015 6:43 am
by jpfeifer
Take the square root of
oo_.posterior_variance