Final value of minus the log posterior: Question

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Final value of minus the log posterior: Question

Postby econ86 » Mon Jan 18, 2016 7:54 pm

I want to estimate my DSGE model. I first find a mode of the posterior density using csminwel (i.e. mode_compute=4)

I get the following results:

Initial value of the log posterior (or likelihood): -6278.8237

After several iterations the algorithm ends up with:

Final value of minus the log posterior (or likelihood):2995.576238

Is there any problem with this value? Should it be negative?
econ86
 
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Re: Final value of minus the log posterior: Question

Postby jpfeifer » Tue Jan 19, 2016 9:35 am

No, there is no problem. Why do you think so? The initial value of MINUS the posterior was 6278.8237. We are now searching for the minimum, which was found at 2995.576238
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: Final value of minus the log posterior: Question

Postby econ86 » Tue Jan 19, 2016 9:47 am

When I add some additional features in the model and run the estimation I get:

Initial value of the log posterior (or likelihood): -3165.4263
Final value of minus the log posterior (or likelihood):-119.039952

So, final value of minus the log posterior (or likelihood) can be either positive or negative number?
econ86
 
Posts: 78
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Re: Final value of minus the log posterior: Question

Postby jpfeifer » Tue Jan 19, 2016 10:01 am

------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


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