Unit root, prespecified S.s., large deviation less accuracy?

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Unit root, prespecified S.s., large deviation less accuracy?

Postby bingye » Wed Apr 20, 2016 12:52 am

I am facing a problem when thinking about the case where a unit root is present. E.g., a=a(-1)+u.
I am told that a value has to be given for a to pin down the STEADY STATE and linearization is then possible. But the problem is, a may drift far from the prespecified value, so are other endogenous variables. As a result, the linear approximation (first order approximation)around the prespecified steady state may be inaccuracy.
Is it true?
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Re: Unit root, prespecified S.s., large deviation less accur

Postby jpfeifer » Thu Apr 21, 2016 9:29 am

Yes, this is true as the approximation is always only local. It is typically not an issue for e.g. IRF analysis at the initially specified point, but might be a problem when doing long simulations where the variable drifts away from the initial approximation point.
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Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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