Variance decomposition and measurement errors in estimation

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Variance decomposition and measurement errors in estimation

Postby britney0109 » Mon Dec 10, 2012 3:25 pm

Dear all,

I set up a model with some structural and a few measurement errors in the observable variables. The Bayesian estimation works fine, but I get strange results when I compute the conditional variance decomposition of the observables following my estimation. Each structural shock explains 100% of the variation of one variable, the measurement errors explain nothing.

Searching the dynare files, I discovered that in the file conditional_variance_decomposition.m it says in line 17

% SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
%
% [1] In this version, absence of measurement errors is assumed...

(This is Dynare 4.3.1.)

Obviously, this requirement is not met by my model. Is there an easy and fast way around this problem? Is it possible to apply variance decompositions in the presence of measurement errors?

I really appreciate any help!
britney0109
 
Posts: 6
Joined: Mon Dec 10, 2012 3:13 pm

Re: Variance decomposition and measurement errors in estimat

Postby jpfeifer » Mon Jan 07, 2013 5:35 pm

This should only be an issue, if you use Dynare'S internal measurement errors. If you treat the measurement errors like structural shocks, i.e. for example you have a measurement equation like
Code: Select all
y_obs=y+eps_meas_y;

the conditional variance decomposition should be correct.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
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Location: Cologne, Germany

Re: Variance decomposition and measurement errors in estimat

Postby britney0109 » Sat Jan 12, 2013 12:19 pm

That helps. Thanks a lot!
britney0109
 
Posts: 6
Joined: Mon Dec 10, 2012 3:13 pm


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