Removing shocks, bayesian estimation

This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location where you will have to reset your password.
Forum rules
This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location (https://forum.dynare.org) where you will have to reset your password.

Removing shocks, bayesian estimation

Postby francescosat » Fri Jun 20, 2014 7:48 pm

Dear all,

I am doing a bayesian estimation and I end up with more shocks than observable variables, I would like to know if this is an issue.

Normally the problem is the opposite, when you have less shocks than observable you have singularity and the estimation is not feasible.

In my situation I think to have two options. The first is to estimate a number of shocks equal to the number of observables while the exceeding shocks are not estimated and simply declared in the estimation mod file as:

Code: Select all
 

model (linear)

x=rhox*x(-1)+ex; //stochastic process
...

shocks;
var ex; stderr 0.01;
....



The other option is to remove the whole stochastic process relative to the exceeding shock (in the above example x). In this case the stochastic variable becomes a simple parameter of the model but his would mean to re-linearize the model treating the former stochastic variables as parameter (much more work).


Which of the two is the correct way of dealing with this issue?

Thanks a lot!
francescosat
 
Posts: 21
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 10:56 pm

Re: Removing shocks, bayesian estimation

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Jun 22, 2014 10:51 am

As long as all estimated parameters are still identified, having more shocks than observables is no problem and very common in estimation.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


Return to Dynare help

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests