Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

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Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

Postby pddv » Wed Oct 15, 2014 10:24 pm

Dear Dynare Community,

Is it possible to compute optimal simple rules (OSR) using a planner discount factor different from 1? This is an option available for the Ramsey and the discretionary commands, but not for the OSR. I have been trying to compute OSR using a planner discount factor of 0.99, but when I introduce the option “osr(planner_discount = 0.99)” there is an error. I cannot find one example for OSR where the planner discount factor is different from 1.
Possibly this option is not available yet for OSR!? Any help?

I thank in advance your reply.


Best

Paulo
pddv
 
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Re: Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

Postby jpfeifer » Thu Oct 16, 2014 9:36 am

I don't understand your point. If you look at the manual at http://www.dynare.org/manual/index_29.html, osr minimizes the contemporaneous variance. There are not future periods involved and discounting takes place.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

Postby pddv » Thu Oct 16, 2014 11:18 am

Thanks for your reply

My problem is that I want to compare the welfare stabilization costs from optimal simple rules with the optimal solution (ramsey_policy). In the Ramsey policy case, with a loss function as the planner objective, the welfare that I obtain is a discounted sum of the future squared deviations from the mean (I’m using a planner discount factor equal to 0.99). In the optimal simple rule case, the objective function is the expectancy of the squared deviations. These are two different sums and I don’t see how to compare the two. Maybe I could consider the Ramsey planner objective and compute an equivalent welfare for the simple rule case using the impulse response results (from osr)!?

Best

Paulo Vieira
pddv
 
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Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2014 9:43 pm

Re: Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

Postby jpfeifer » Fri Oct 17, 2014 6:55 pm

The two things use inherently different objects (maximizing utility vs. minimizing some variance). While there is some relation (agents are risk averse and care about low fluctuations) I am not aware of an easy metric to compare the two. Probably you could look at consumption equivalents relative to steady state you would need to make agents indifferent between the two regimes.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Location: Cologne, Germany

Re: Planner discount factor in OSR (optimal simple rule)

Postby pddv » Mon Oct 20, 2014 6:19 pm

Thanks.


Paulo
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