IRFs and steady state

This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location where you will have to reset your password.
Forum rules
This forum is closed. You can read the posts but cannot write. We have migrated the forum to a new location (https://forum.dynare.org) where you will have to reset your password.

IRFs and steady state

Postby theta23 » Wed Jul 01, 2015 3:23 pm

Dear all,

my question is about the dynamics of impulse response functions. In a stochastic model following a shock all variables should earlier or later go back to the steady state, is it correct? I modified my model a bit (modified loan contracts from one-period to multiperiod) and now debt stock moves slowly (what I also expected). But in the long run it continues going down and seems not to go back to the steady state (I simulated irfs for 60 periods).
Does this mean that something is going wrong with my code?

Any advice will be highly appreciated!
Best,
theta23
theta23
 
Posts: 20
Joined: Mon Apr 27, 2015 3:20 pm

Re: IRFs and steady state

Postby jpfeifer » Wed Jul 01, 2015 7:37 pm

Use the check command to find out whether there is a unit root. Or use at least 500 periods to judge permanence.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany

Re: IRFs and steady state

Postby theta23 » Thu Jul 02, 2015 9:05 am

Thank you! After about 100 periods it converges to the steady sate.
But I have another question - what do usually small zickzacks in irfs mean? For example, following a house price shock Inflation goes up, but it does in the 2-4 quarters some small zickzack a bit down and then gradually increases further before returning to the steady state.
Should I be concerned about this non-monotonicity?
theta23
 
Posts: 20
Joined: Mon Apr 27, 2015 3:20 pm

Re: IRFs and steady state

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Jul 05, 2015 5:49 pm

Only economic intuition can give you an answer. There are model where such behavior is immanent to the model and makes sense. But there are also cases where this suggests a mistake.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


Return to Dynare help

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 7 guests