Difference between smoothedvariables and updatedvariables

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Difference between smoothedvariables and updatedvariables

Postby Seungcheol Lee » Thu Aug 20, 2015 10:37 pm

Hello.

I like to know the difference between oo_.smoothedvariables and oo_.updatedvariables.

It's difficult to know the exact difference through manual.

Specifically, which value should I use for estimation of endogenous variables (for example, output gap) ?

Thank you for your help in advance!
Seungcheol Lee
 
Posts: 14
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2015 10:17 am

Re: Difference between smoothedvariables and updatedvariable

Postby jpfeifer » Fri Aug 21, 2015 6:07 am

What do you not understand? As the manual says, smoothed objects are the
expected value of variables and shocks given
the information available in all observations up to the final date (E_T (y_t)).

They use the full sample information for inference.

In contrast, the updated variables
contains the estimation of the expected value of
variables given the information available at the current date (E_t (y_t)).

They are basically real-time estimates as they only use information up to the current date t.

Most of the time, people are interested in smoothed values. You want to know the output gap in the past, using all available information to estimate it.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
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Re: Difference between smoothedvariables and updatedvariable

Postby Seungcheol Lee » Fri Aug 21, 2015 8:10 am

Dear Jpfeifer

Thank you so much!

Best
Seungcheol
Seungcheol Lee
 
Posts: 14
Joined: Mon Jun 29, 2015 10:17 am


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