Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

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Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

Postby mattgr » Wed Dec 23, 2015 12:35 pm

Hi all,

I am trying to replicate Corsetti-Dedola-Leduc RES 2008, but adding long-run growth. I keep running into the popular 'Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail' error, which corrects itself when I set exp(rex)=exp(cpif(-1))/exp(cpi(-1)), but this is not the correct timing. Can someone please help me out figure out where the mistake is? I've gone over the code several times and re-derived all equations, and I cannot figure it out. The mod file is attached.

Thank you very much in advance,

Matt
Last edited by mattgr on Tue Dec 29, 2015 8:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Dec 27, 2015 7:11 pm

When posting an equation like the one above, please provide an explanation of the elements and why you think it must be the way you post it.
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Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

Postby mattgr » Mon Dec 28, 2015 3:12 pm

rex is the exchange rate, which is defined in their paper as the ratio of foreign cpi (cpif) over domestic cpi (cpi). The exchange rate should not be predetermined, which makes me think there is an error related to timing somewhere else, but I cannot find it. Thanks in advance for your help!
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Re: Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

Postby jpfeifer » Mon Dec 28, 2015 5:55 pm

Typically, this is a sign that some other equation (quite likely involving the real exchange rate) still has a timing problem. You should focus on the Euler equations.
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Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: Blanchard-Kahn conditions fail: exchange rate timing

Postby mattgr » Mon Dec 28, 2015 6:43 pm

Thanks, I'll take a look!
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