Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

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Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby fuyangzhao » Sun Jul 03, 2016 8:47 am

Hi all,

Both Blanchard-Kahn method and Sims' method consider the expectations error in the system. They introduce this term in order to drop the expectations operators.

In dynare examples, however, I don't see any expectations error or expectations operators. Do we need to consider the expectations error in dynare?

Thanks in advance for any help!
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Re: Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:51 pm

Yes. Dynare by convention assumes a conditional expectations operator in front of every equation when doing stochastic simulations.
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Re: Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby fuyangzhao » Mon Jul 04, 2016 7:27 am

jpfeifer wrote:Yes. Dynare by convention assumes a conditional expectations operator in front of every equation when doing stochastic simulations.

Thanks Professor!
So...Since Dynare has considered expectations operator, we do not need to consider the expectations error, right?
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Re: Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby jpfeifer » Mon Jul 04, 2016 8:57 am

What do you mean with
do not need to consider the expectations error
?

You usually do not have to explicitly define one, but you still have to "consider" them so that the Blanchard-Kahn conditions are satisfied.
------------
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University of Cologne
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Re: Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby fuyangzhao » Mon Jul 04, 2016 1:10 pm

jpfeifer wrote:What do you mean with
do not need to consider the expectations error
?

You usually do not have to explicitly define one, but you still have to "consider" them so that the Blanchard-Kahn conditions are satisfied.


Sorry for my improper use of words.

I came up with this question becacuse of the attached file
Model_LinearEquations.pdf
(138.61 KiB) Downloaded 75 times
, which is a part of Mathematica code for a DSGE model. In that file, besides rational expectations equations and shock processes equations, the author also introduced expectations error equation, which are never seen in Dynare code...
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Re: Do we need to consider Expectations Error in dynare?

Postby jpfeifer » Mon Jul 04, 2016 1:27 pm

No, you don't have to explicitly introduce expectational errors in Dynare. If you correctly use Dynare's timing convention, they are implied.
------------
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Location: Cologne, Germany


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