WRONG IN ESTIMATION(WITH MOD FILE ATTACHED)

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WRONG IN ESTIMATION(WITH MOD FILE ATTACHED)

Postby zhanshuo » Thu Dec 15, 2016 6:06 pm

Hi, everyone, I got wrong in estimation with the message "Error using chol. Matrix must be positive definite." .
I have put identification command in the mod file, and it pass the identification check.
But still it comes up with something wrong in estimation .
Here are the mod file and data file , in which I have processed raw data under the guidance of Prof. Pfeifer's "A guide to specifying Observation Equations for the Estimation of DSGE models".
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zhanshuo
 
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Re: WRONG IN ESTIMATION(WITH MOD FILE ATTACHED)

Postby jpfeifer » Fri Dec 16, 2016 8:22 am

1. Use a different mode-finder that does not get stuck. mode_compute=5 seemed to work well for your model
2. Your prior for
Code: Select all
phi_pi,1.5,0.001,30,GAMMA_PDF,1.5,10;

is problematic. It has a large asymptote at 0, but the lower bound for it should be 1. Please use a prior that gives more weight to the determinacy region.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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Re: WRONG IN ESTIMATION(WITH MOD FILE ATTACHED)

Postby zhanshuo » Sat Dec 17, 2016 6:52 am

Thanks a lot ,Prof. Pleifer!
It seems work well on mode_computer=5.
So here comes a question, do I have to revise and check again and again to make that estimation work under every mode_computer from 0-10?
Is it right that only the estimation has passed through the 10 mode_computers, can we make a conclusion that it is a rightly set-up model?
zhanshuo
 
Posts: 44
Joined: Fri Nov 25, 2016 7:59 am

Re: WRONG IN ESTIMATION(WITH MOD FILE ATTACHED)

Postby jpfeifer » Sat Dec 17, 2016 10:47 am

The goal is to find the global mode. It is often useful to test several mode-finders (but not all of them; several Newton-type algorithms if often redundant). You could try running mode_compute=5 first, load the mode-file and then run mode_compute=9. That is often sufficient.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


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