Estimating non-stationary models with Dynare

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Estimating non-stationary models with Dynare

Postby joff » Thu Jan 05, 2017 3:16 pm

I am estimating two non-stationary models in Dynare. Both models described below decompose the time series y into trend and cycle. The only difference is that in Model 1. drift is a random walk process while in Model 2. it is a stationary process. The thing is that Dynare is able to estimate the first model, by using the diffuse_filter option, without specifiying steady state in a mod-file (or in a separate m-file) while in the second case it is not, i.e. one has to specify the steady state of the model in which the steady-state of unit root variables can be set to any arbitrary value. The thing is that in Model 1. I directly get the estimates of the trend while in the case of Model 2. I have to construct it by substracting the cycle from an observed series. I can't figure out why this is the case so if anyone has some clarification I would really appreciate it.

Model 1.
y = trend(-1) + cycle(-1)
trend = trend(-1) + drift(-1) + e_t
drift = drift(-1) + e_d
cycle = rho*cycle(-1) + e_c

Model 2.
y = trend(-1) + cycle(-1)
trend = trend(-1) + drift(-1) + e_t
drift = (1-phi)*drift_ss + phi*drift(-1) + e_d
cycle = rho*cycle(-1) + e_c
joff
 
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Re: Estimating non-stationary models with Dynare

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Jan 08, 2017 7:20 pm

I would need to investigate this. Could you please provide me with all files necessary to replicate the issue?
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Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
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Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


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