identification problem

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identification problem

Postby ZBCPA » Sun Mar 26, 2017 2:14 pm

Dear Johannes,

If I use data A_obs to match AR1 shock 'A' in estimation , and also add one measurement error A_me, as following
Code: Select all
A=rho*A(-1)+e_A;
A_obs=A+A_me;


Would there be identification problem, like e_A and A_me can not be identified simultaneously?

Many thanks in advance,
Huan
ZBCPA
 
Posts: 101
Joined: Sat May 16, 2015 4:15 am

Re: identification problem

Postby jpfeifer » Sun Mar 26, 2017 8:48 pm

No, there should not be an identification issue - unless rho=0. The reason is that e_A will introduce autocorrelation in A_obs, while A_me will not. This prevents the two shocks from being observationally equivalent.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany

Re: identification problem

Postby ZBCPA » Thu Apr 20, 2017 10:32 am

jpfeifer wrote:No, there should not be an identification issue - unless rho=0. The reason is that e_A will introduce autocorrelation in A_obs, while A_me will not. This prevents the two shocks from being observationally equivalent.


Dear Johannes,

Could I ask you another case?
If the measurement equation is
Code: Select all
A_obs=x*A;

where x is a "scale" parameter to adjust standard deviation between observed data and shock A , and x should be estimated; A here is i.i.d shock with 0 persistence, so it is just the innovation. I also need to estimate standard deviation of A. Would there be identification problem in such case?

Many thanks!

Kind regards,
Huan
ZBCPA
 
Posts: 101
Joined: Sat May 16, 2015 4:15 am

Re: identification problem

Postby jpfeifer » Fri Apr 21, 2017 7:48 am

Yes, there would be a problem. You cannot estimated x and the standard deviation of A at the same time, because both capture exactly the same thing. You need to normalize one.
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
jpfeifer
 
Posts: 6940
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Cologne, Germany


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