Constant Expectations

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Constant Expectations

Postby wiknam » Thu May 12, 2011 4:17 pm

Dear all,

have you any ideas how to implement an exogenous stochastic shock to a standard New-Keynesian Model with Dynare where agents form constant expectations for this shock process over time?
For example

var x pi;
varexo s;

x = x(+1) -1/sigma(i-pi(+1)) + s
pi = pi(+1) + kappa x
i = tau_pi*pi + tau_x*x

shock;
var s = 0.01^2;
end;

the variable s is exogenous and stochastic in nature. However, I would like agents to form expectations about s in a stationary way, so that E_t(s(t+1))=s(t) for all t in the future, albeit s might be a completely random number.
I would appreciate it if anybody can offer a hint on how to implement this expectations scheme in Dynare.

All my best,
wiknam
wiknam
 
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Joined: Wed Sep 12, 2007 8:43 am

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