DSGE-VAR Forecasts

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DSGE-VAR Forecasts

Postby VNM » Wed Jul 13, 2011 2:12 pm

Greetings,

I noticed in an ECB working paper (Putting the New Keynesian DSGE model to the real-time forecasting test, 2009) that the authors did their estimation work in Dynare v.4. I've searched this forum and the Dynare documentation but I couldn't find an answer to the following question: can Dynare produce forecasts from DSGE-VARs, or just from DSGE models and BVARs 'à la Sims'? When I put 'forecast' in the estimation command, it produces a mean and point forecast for each variable, rather than one set of forecasts (mean and point) for the DSGE and another for the DSGE-VAR, similar to the IRFs which are given for both.

If anyone could clear this up, I would very much appreciate it.
VNM
 
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Re: DSGE-VAR Forecasts

Postby olayenidynare » Fri Jul 29, 2011 9:10 am

Maybe you need to use nobs=[firstdate:lastdate] of the forecast in place of nobs=number_of_ observation.
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Re: DSGE-VAR Forecasts

Postby SébastienVillemot » Mon Sep 05, 2011 1:17 pm

Forecasts with DSGE-VAR have not been implemented.

Best,
Sébastien Villemot
Economist at OFCE – Sciences Po
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Re: DSGE-VAR Forecasts

Postby jpfeifer » Fri Jan 29, 2016 9:37 am

To keep track of this issue, see https://github.com/DynareTeam/dynare/issues/819
------------
Johannes Pfeifer
University of Cologne
https://sites.google.com/site/pfeiferecon/
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